US election 2016 – 100 days to go

Trump_&_Clinton

It’s 100 days until November 8th, the day that America goes to the polls do decide who they want to lead their country for the next four years. Here’s an update on the current state of play…

NEWS IN BRIEF

  • Donald Trump accepts the Republican nomination, saying that his leadership would bring safety and security back to America. He also promised to crack down on illegal immigration by building a wall along the border with Mexico, reversing the tide of globalisation, and criticised Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton on her record as Secretary of State, which was met with chants of ‘Lock her up!’
  • Hillary Clinton accepts the Democratic nomination, becoming the first woman to be nominated as a presidential candidate for a major US party. In her acceptance speech, Clinton pledged to take a stand against unfair trade deals, promised to be a president for all Americans, and attacked Trump’s competence and ability to govern, saying: “A man you can bait with a tweet is not a man we can trust with nuclear weapons”.
  • Trump has caused controversy over his remarks regarding the family of a dead US Muslim soldier. The mother of Humayun Khan, killed in a car bomb in Iraq in 2004, stood by her husband as he addressed the Democratic National Convention, claiming that Trump had sacrificed ‘nothing and no-one’ for the country. Trump’s suggestion that the mother may not have been allowed to speak because of her Islamic faith has caused outrage on both sides of the political spectrum, including from Ohio Governor John Kaisch and Democratic VP nominee Tim Kaine.

POLLING

RABA Research (30 Jul) –  Clinton 46% Trump 31% Other 23%

ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Clinton 323 Trump 211 Tied 4


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

Most recent state polling with most nominees possible used:

  • Alabama (9 EC votes) – Trump 57% Clinton 33% (19 Jul)
  • Alaska (3) – Trump 49.3% Clinton 44.1% (23 Jan)
  • Arizona (11) – Trump 49% Clinton 41% Johnson 3% Stein 1% (29 Jul)
  • Arkansas (6) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 8% (21 Jun)
  • California (55) – Clinton 46% Trump 30% Johnson 7% Stein 6% (10-19 Jul)
  • Colorado (9) – Clinton 37% Trump 28% Johnson 13% Stein 6% (9-12 Jul)
  • Connecticut (7) – Clinton 41% Trump 36% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (1-5 Jun)
  • Delaware (3) – Clinton 42% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (20-24 Jul)
  • District of Columbia (3) – no data, but voted Democrat since 1964 election
  • Florida (29) – Clinton 41% Trump 36% Johnson 7% Stein 4% (5-11 Jul)
  • Georgia (16) – Trump 46% Clinton 44% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (24 Jul)
  • Hawaii (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • Idaho (4) – Trump 44% Clinton 23% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (5-16 Jul)
  • Illinois (20) – Clinton 51% Trump 34% Johnson 7% Stein 7% (14-16 Jul)
  • Indiana (11) – Trump 50% Clinton 36% (20-21 Jul)
  • Iowa (6) – Trump 40% Clinton 39% Johnson 3% Stein 2% (13-15 Jul)
  • Kansas (6) – Trump 44% Clinton 27% Johnson 7% (11-21 Jul)
  • Kentucky (8) – Trump 34% Clinton 28% (5-7 Jul)
  • Louisiana (8) – Trump 52% Clinton 36% (5-6 May)
  • Maine (4) – Clinton 42% Trump 35% (15-21 Jun)
  • Maryland (10) – Clinton 61% Trump 28% (15-17 Apr)
  • Massachusetts (11) – Clinton 55% Trump 31% (2-5 May)
  • Michigan (16) – Clinton 42% Trump 39% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (13-15 Jul)
  • Minnesota (10) – Clinton 48% Trump 35% (25-27 Apr)
  • Mississippi (6) – Trump 46% Clinton 43% (28-30 Mar)
  • Missouri (10) – Clinton 41% Trump 40% Johnson 9% Stein 1% (23-24 Jul)
  • Montana (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1996 election
  • Nebraska (5) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Nevada (6) – Trump 43% Clinton 38% Johnson 8% (22-24 Jul)
  • New Hampshire (4) – Clinton 37% Trump 37% Johnson 10% Stein 5% (9-18 Jul)
  • New Jersey (14) – Clinton 37% Trump 31% Johnson 5% Stein 4% (23-27 May)
  • New Mexico (5) – Clinton 41% Trump 33% Johnson 14% (13-15 May)
  • New York (29) – Clinton 45% Trump 33% Johnson 6% Stein 4% (13-17 Jul)
  • North Carolina (15) – Clinton 42% Trump 36% Johnson 7% Stein 2% (5-11 Jul)
  • North Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Ohio (18) – Trump 42% Clinton 39% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (22-24 Jul)
  • Oklahoma (7) – Trump 48% Clinton 28% Johnson 6% (2-4 May)
  • Oregon (7) – Clinton 43% Trump 40% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (9-13 Jul)
  • Pennsylvania (20) – Clinton 46% Trump 37% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (25-27 Jul)
  • Rhode Island (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • South Carolina (9) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1980 election
  • South Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Tennessee (11) – Trump 44% Clinton 35% (25 Apr – 11 May)
  • Texas (38) – Trump 39% Clinton 32% Johnson 7% (10-20 Jun)
  • Utah (6) – Trump 36% Clinton 27% Johnson 10% Stein 2% (8-17 Jun)
  • Vermont (3) – Clinton 39% Trump 17% Johnson 5% (11-23 Jul)
  • Virginia (13) – Clinton 39% Trump 34% Johnson 10% Stein 4% (9-12 Jul)
  • Washington (12) – Clinton 49% Trump 37% (14-15 Jun)
  • West Virginia (5) – Trump 57% Clinton 30% (29 Apr – 1 May)
  • Wisconsin (10) – Clinton 43% Trump 37% Johnson 8% Stein 2% (7-10 Jul)
  • Wyoming (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election

 

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