US Election 2016 – 90 days to go

Processed with MOLDIV

Processed with MOLDIV

It is now just under three months until the US Presidential election. With the party conventions out of the way, it appears that Clinton is maintaining a boost from the DNC, with Trump’s support also being dented by a number of outbursts and attacks from high ranking Republicans.

NEWS IN BRIEF

  • In a video clip released by 20th Century Fox, Marge and Homer Simpson endorsed Hillary Clinton for the presidency, with Donald Trump seen carrying a book called ‘Great Speeches’ by A. Hitler.
  • Trump compared Hillary Clinton to ‘the devil’ in a speech about Bernie Sanders. He also claimed that the presidential election will be rigged, whilst ignoring the controversy he sparked last week with a fallen Muslim soldier’s family. Trump also sparked criticism after suggesting that women who are harassed in the workplace should find another career.
  • An anti-Clinton film has become the biggest grossing documentary of the year in the United States. Hillary’s America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party, which has been endorsed by Donald Trump, has already made $11.2 million at the box office after its release two weeks ago. However, the film has attracted some criticism and has scored only 4% on Rotten Tomatoes.
  • Evan McMullin, an anti-Trump Mormon Republican, has launched an independent bid for the presidency. It’s thought that a strong showing for McMullin in states where the Mormon population is strongest could steal many votes from Trump and hand Republican states over to the Democrats.
  • 50 GOP security experts have denounced Trump as ‘dangerous’ to the security of the United States. In a letter, the signatories, many veterans of the Bush administration said that Trump in the Oval Office would be ‘the most reckless President in American history’.
  • In a rally in North Carolina, Donald Trump sparked anger after suggesting that Hillary Clinton should be assassinated if she puts liberal justices in the Supreme Court. In a speech, he said: ‘Hillary wants to essentially abolish the Second Amendment. By the way, if she gets to pick her judges, nothing you can do folks. But with the Second Amendment people, maybe there is, I don’t know’. Trump’s campaign team has defended the remarks, saying they did not call for violence.

POLLING

YouGov/Economist (6-9 Aug)Clinton 42% Trump 36% Johnson 9% Stein 2%

ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Clinton 328 Trump 175 Tied 35


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

Most recent state polling with most nominees possible used:

  • Alabama (9 EC votes) – Trump 57% Clinton 33% (19 Jul)
  • Alaska (3) – Trump 49.3% Clinton 44.1% (23 Jan)
  • Arizona (11) – Trump 44% Clinton 42% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (2-5 Aug)
  • Arkansas (6) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 8% (21 Jun)
  • California (55) – Clinton 46% Trump 30% Johnson 7% Stein 6% (10-19 Jul)
  • Colorado (9) – Clinton 37% Trump 28% Johnson 13% Stein 6% (9-12 Jul)
  • Connecticut (7) – Clinton 41% Trump 36% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (1-5 Jun)
  • Delaware (3) – Clinton 42% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (20-24 Jul)
  • District of Columbia (3) – no data, but voted Democrat since 1964 election
  • Florida (29) – Clinton 43% Trump 43% Johnson 7% Stein 3% (30 Jul – 7 Aug)
  • Georgia (16) – Clinton 44% Trump 37% Johnson 7% Stein 1% (6-7 Aug)
  • Hawaii (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • Idaho (4) – Trump 44% Clinton 23% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (5-16 Jul)
  • Illinois (20) – Clinton 51% Trump 34% Johnson 7% Stein 7% (14-16 Jul)
  • Indiana (11) – Trump 50% Clinton 36% (20-21 Jul)
  • Iowa (6) – Clinton 35% Trump 35% Johnson 12% Stein 6% (3-7 Aug)
  • Kansas (6) – Trump 44% Clinton 39% Johnson 8% (9 Aug)
  • Kentucky (8) – Trump 49% Clinton 36% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (31 Jul – 1 Aug)
  • Louisiana (8) – Trump 52% Clinton 36% (5-6 May)
  • Maine (4) – Clinton 42% Trump 35% (15-21 Jun)
  • Maryland (10) – Clinton 61% Trump 28% (15-17 Apr)
  • Massachusetts (11) – Clinton 55% Trump 31% (2-5 May)
  • Michigan (16) – Clinton 43% Trump 32% Johnson 8% Stein 3% (30 Jul – 4 Aug)
  • Minnesota (10) – Clinton 48% Trump 35% (25-27 Apr)
  • Mississippi (6) – Trump 46% Clinton 43% (28-30 Mar)
  • Missouri (10) – Trump 44% Clinton 42% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (5-6 Aug)
  • Montana (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1996 election
  • Nebraska (5) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Nevada (6) – Clinton 43% Trump 41% Johnson 4% Stein 3% (2-5 Aug)
  • New Hampshire (4) – Clinton 47% Trump 32% Johnson 8% Stein 3% (9-18 Jul)
  • New Jersey (14) – Clinton 37% Trump 31% Johnson 5% Stein 4% (23-27 May)
  • New Mexico (5) – Clinton 41% Trump 33% Johnson 14% (13-15 May)
  • New York (29) – Clinton 45% Trump 33% Johnson 6% Stein 4% (13-17 Jul)
  • North Carolina (15) – Clinton 43% Trump 41% Johnson 7% Stein 2% (5-7 Aug)
  • North Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Ohio (18) – Clinton 39% Trump 35% Johnson 12% Stein 4% (3-7 Aug)
  • Oklahoma (7) – Trump 48% Clinton 28% Johnson 6% (2-4 May)
  • Oregon (7) – Clinton 43% Trump 40% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (9-13 Jul)
  • Pennsylvania (20) – Clinton 45% Trump 36% Johnson 9% Stein 3% (3-7 Aug)
  • Rhode Island (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • South Carolina (9) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1980 election
  • South Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Tennessee (11) – Trump 49% Clinton 33% (25-27 Jul)
  • Texas (38) – Trump 39% Clinton 32% Johnson 7% (10-20 Jun)
  • Utah (6) – Trump 37% Clinton 25% Johnson 16% Stein 1% (18 Jul – 4 Aug)
  • Vermont (3) – Clinton 39% Trump 17% Johnson 5% (11-23 Jul)
  • Virginia (13) – Clinton 49% Trump 37% Johnson 7% (2-5 Aug)
  • Washington (12) – Clinton 49% Trump 37% (14-15 Jun)
  • West Virginia (5) – Trump 57% Clinton 30% (29 Apr – 1 May)
  • Wisconsin (10) – Clinton 43% Trump 37% Johnson 8% Stein 2% (7-10 Jul)
  • Wyoming (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election

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