US Election 2016 – 80 days to go

Trump_&_Clinton

The US election is drawing ever closer, and it appears that Trump is still yet to recover from the various controversies that have plagued the last month. With Trump now banking on Breitbart’s Stephen Bannon as his campaign’s chief executive, commentators have said he is ‘doubling down on a losing strategy‘. Only time will tell whether this is accurate.

NEWS IN BRIEF

  • Hillary Clinton and her running mate Tim Kane released their tax returns on Friday 12th, calling on her Republican opponent Donald Trump to do the same. Clinton’s tax return revealed that Hillary and her husband earned roughly $11m last year and paid 43.2% in tax.
  • Donald Trump outlined plans to carry out ‘extreme vetting’ of people coming into the United States, which would involve excluding ‘those who do not believe in our constitution, those who believe in bigotry or hatred, those not expected to ‘flourish in our country’ and those who would not embrace American ideals’. He also announced plans to suspend immigration from countries that ‘have a history of exporting terrorism’.
  • Trump shook up his campaign team, bringing on board Breitbart’s Stephen Bannon as campaign manager. Bannon is said to be more in favour of Trump’s ‘freewheeling style’, which others have tried to rein in. In the wake of this news, as well as allegations of ties to Russian interests, Trump’s campaign chairman Paul Manafort resigned.
  • Life-size naked statues of the Republican nominee suddenly appeared in New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Seattle and Cleveland on Thursday, which have been a big hit with passers-by. However, employees of New York City Parks removed the city’s sculpture, saying: “NYC Parks stands firmly against any unpermitted erection in city parks, no matter how small”.
  • Trump made a direct appeal to African-American voters yesterday, saying that black voters are living with poverty and claiming Clinton would ‘rather provide a job to a refugee’ than to unemployed black youths.

POLLING

Ipsos/Reuters (13-17 Aug) – Clinton 39% Trump 35% Johnson 7% Stein 2%

ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Clinton 347 Trump 191


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

Most recent polling used, with most candidates where appropriate:

  • Alabama (9 EC) – Trump 57% Clinton 33% (19 Jul)
  • Alaska (3) – Trump 49.3% Clinton 44.1% (23 Jan)
  • Arizona (11) – Trump 44% Clinton 42% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (2-5 Aug)
  • Arkansas (6) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 8% (21 Jun)
  • California (55) – Clinton 46% Trump 30% Johnson 7% Stein 6% (10-19 Jul)
  • Colorado (9) – Clinton 41% Trump 33% Johnson 16% Stein 7% (9-16 Aug)
  • Connecticut (7) – Clinton 41% Trump 36% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (1-5 Jun)
  • Delaware (3) – Clinton 42% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (20-24 Jul)
  • District of Columbia (3) – Clinton 62% Trump 22% Johnson 3% (12-18 Jul)
  • Florida (29) – Clinton 48% Trump 39% Johnson 6% Stein 1% (12-15 Aug)
  • Georgia (16) – Trump 45% Clinton 41% Johnson 5% Stein 1% (10-12 Aug)
  • Hawaii (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • Idaho (4) – Trump 44% Clinton 23% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (5-16 Jul)
  • Illinois (20) – Clinton 51% Trump 32% (1-4 Aug)
  • Indiana (11) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 10% (13-16 Aug)
  • Iowa (6) – Clinton 41% Trump 39% Johnson 12% Stein 3% (9-16 Aug)
  • Kansas (6) – Trump 44% Clinton 39% Johnson 8% (9 Aug)
  • Kentucky (8) – Trump 49% Clinton 36% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (31 Jul – 1 Aug)
  • Louisiana (8) – Trump 52% Clinton 36% (5-6 May)
  • Maine (4) – Clinton 43% Trump 33% Johnson 10% Stein 5% (4-8 Aug)
  • Maryland (10) – Clinton 61% Trump 28% (15-17 Apr)
  • Massachusetts (11) – Clinton 55% Trump 31% (2-5 May)
  • Michigan (16) – Clinton 44% Trump 33% Johnson 9% Stein 5% (9-10 Aug)
  • Minnesota (10) – Clinton 48% Trump 35% (25-27 Apr)
  • Mississippi (6) – Trump 52% Clinton 39% Johnson 3% Stein 0% (11 Aug)
  • Missouri (10) – Trump 44% Clinton 42% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (5-6 Aug)
  • Montana (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1996 election
  • Nebraska (5) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Nevada (6) – Clinton 43.8% Trump 41.6% Johnson 4.8% Castle 1% De La Fuente 1% (15-17 Aug)
  • New Hampshire (4) – Clinton 45% Trump 36% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (10-12 Aug)
  • New Jersey (14) Clinton 44% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (22-26 Jun)
  • New Mexico (5) – Clinton 41% Trump 33% Johnson 14% (13-15 May)
  • New York (29) – Clinton 50% Trump 25% Johnson 9% Stein 6% (7-10 Aug)
  • North Carolina (15) – Clinton 45% Trump 36% Johnson 9% Stein 2% (4-10 Aug)
  • North Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Ohio (18) – Clinton 39% Trump 35% Johnson 12% Stein 4% (3-7 Aug)
  • Oklahoma (7) – Trump 53% Clinton 29% Johnson 7% (20-25 Jul)
  • Oregon (7) – Clinton 43% Trump 40% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (9-13 Jul)
  • Pennsylvania (20) – Clinton 45% Trump 36% Johnson 9% Stein 3% (3-7 Aug)
  • Rhode Island (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • South Carolina (9) – Trump 41% Clinton 39% Johnson 9% Stein 2% (9-10 Aug)
  • South Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Tennessee (11) – Trump 49% Clinton 33% (25-27 Jul)
  • Texas (38) – Trump 44% Clinton 38% Johnson 6% Stein 2% McMullin 0% (12-14 Aug)
  • Utah (6) – Trump 37% Clinton 25% Johnson 16% Stein 1% (18 Jul – 4 Aug)
  • Vermont (3) – Clinton 39% Trump 17% Johnson 5% (11-23 Jul)
  • Virginia (13) – Clinton 45% Trump 34% Johnson 11% Stein 5% (9-16 Aug)
  • Washington (12) – Clinton 43% Trump 24% Johnson 7% Stein 4% (9-13 Aug)
  • West Virginia (5) – Trump 57% Clinton 30% (29 Apr – 1 May)
  • Wisconsin (10) – Clinton 42% Trump 33% Johnson 10% Stein 4% (4-7 Aug)
  • Wyoming (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election

 

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