US Election 2016 – 70 days to go

Trump_&_Clinton

Summer comes to an end this week, but the US election is just heating up. With the debates now only a matter of weeks away and the polls narrowing (albeit very slightly), it is all to play for with only 70 days to go.

ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Clinton 334 Trump 155 Tied 53


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

NEWS IN BRIEF

  • Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and Trump supporter, warned of huge disappointment if the Republican nominee backs down on plans to deport undocumented immigrants. Trump has indicated that, rather than deporting all the 11 million living illegally in the United States, he would only send back those who commit crimes if elected.
  • Hillary Clinton unveiled a new plan to address mental health issues, including the creation of a national initiative for suicide prevention, requiring the inclusion of mental health coverage in health insurance plans and increasing funding for community health centres.
  • In an investigation by The Guardian, it was revealed that Trump’s new campaign chief is registered to vote in the key swing state of Florida at an empty house set to be demolished where he doesn’t live – which could amount to a breach of electoral law.
  • Clinton’s personal aide, Huma Abedin, has separated from her disgraced husband, Anthony Weiner. Weiner resigned as a congressman in 2011 after it was revealed he had sent explicit photos via text to other women. Trump claimed that the news demonstrates Clinton’s lack of judgement.

POLLING

NBC News/SurveyMonkey (22-28 Aug) – Clinton 41% Trump 37% Johnson 8% Stein 2%

 

Most recent polling used, with most candidates where appropriate:

  • Alabama (9 EC) – Trump 57% Clinton 33% (19 Jul)
  • Alaska (3) – Trump 39% Clinton 30% Johnson 16% Stein 6% (16-20 Jun)
  • Arizona (11) – Clinton 40% Trump 39% Johnson 7% Stein 1% (25-27 Aug)
  • Arkansas (6) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 8% (21 Jun)
  • California (55) – Clinton 46% Trump 30% Johnson 7% Stein 6% (10-19 Jul)
  • Colorado (9) – Clinton 41% Trump 33% Johnson 16% Stein 7% (9-16 Aug)
  • Connecticut (7) – Clinton 41% Trump 36% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (1-5 Jun)
  • Delaware (3) – Clinton 42% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (20-24 Jul)
  • District of Columbia (3) – Clinton 62% Trump 22% Johnson 3% (12-18 Jul)
  • Florida (29) – Clinton 44% Trump 42% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (22-24 Aug)
  • Georgia (16) – Clinton 43% Trump 43% Johnson 11% (17 Aug)
  • Hawaii (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • Idaho (4) – Trump 44% Clinton 23% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (5-16 Jul)
  • Illinois (20) – Clinton 51% Trump 32% (1-4 Aug)
  • Indiana (11) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 10% (13-16 Aug)
  • Iowa (6) – Clinton 40% Trump 40% Johnson 12% Stein 3% (9-16 Aug)
  • Kansas (6) – Trump 44% Clinton 39% Johnson 8% (9 Aug)
  • Kentucky (8) – Trump 41% Clinton 25% (2-4 Aug)
  • Louisiana (8) – Trump 52% Clinton 36% (5-6 May)
  • Maine (4) – Clinton 43% Trump 33% Johnson 10% Stein 5% (4-8 Aug)
  • Maryland (10) – Clinton 61% Trump 28% (15-17 Apr)
  • Massachusetts (11) – Clinton 55% Trump 31% (2-5 May)
  • Michigan (16) – Clinton 45% Trump 40% Johnson 7% Stein 3% (25-28 Aug)
  • Minnesota (10) – Clinton 48% Trump 35% (25-27 Apr)
  • Mississippi (6) – Trump 52% Clinton 39% Johnson 3% Stein 0% (11 Aug)
  • Missouri (10) – Trump 44% Clinton 43% Johnson 8% (19-22 Aug)
  • Montana (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1996 election
  • Nebraska (5) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Nevada (6) – Clinton 44% Trump 42% Johnson 5% (15-17 Aug)
  • New Hampshire (4) – Clinton 45% Trump 36% Johnson 5% Stein 3% (10-12 Aug)
  • New Jersey (14) Clinton 44% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (22-26 Jun)
  • New Mexico (5) – Clinton 40% Trump 31% Johnson 16% Stein 4% (19-21 Aug)
  • New York (29) – Clinton 50% Trump 25% Johnson 9% Stein 6% (7-10 Aug)
  • North Carolina (15) – Clinton 44% Trump 42% Johnson 7% (20-23 Aug)
  • North Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Ohio (18) – Clinton 43% Trump 43% Johnson 10% Stein 2% (25-27 Aug)
  • Oklahoma (7) – Trump 53% Clinton 29% Johnson 7% (20-25 Jul)
  • Oregon (7) – Clinton 43% Trump 40% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (9-13 Jul)
  • Pennsylvania (20) – Clinton 46% Trump 43% Johnson 7% Stein 2% (25-28 Aug)
  • Rhode Island (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • South Carolina (9) – Clinton 39% Trump 39% Johnson 5% Stein 1% (18-21 Aug)
  • South Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Tennessee (11) – Trump 49% Clinton 33% (25-27 Jul)
  • Texas (38) – Trump 44% Clinton 38% Johnson 6% Stein 2% McMullin 0% (12-14 Aug)
  • Utah (6) – Trump 39% Clinton 24% Johnson 12% Stein 5% Castle 2% McMullin 9% (19-21 Aug)
  • Vermont (3) – Clinton 39% Trump 17% Johnson 5% (11-23 Jul)
  • Virginia (13) – Clinton 48% Trump 32% Johnson 8% Stein 3% (7-17 Aug)
  • Washington (12) – Clinton 43% Trump 24% Johnson 7% Stein 4% (9-13 Aug)
  • West Virginia (5) – Trump 57% Clinton 30% (29 Apr – 1 May)
  • Wisconsin (10) – Clinton 42% Trump 33% Johnson 10% Stein 4% (4-7 Aug)
  • Wyoming (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election

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