US Election 2016 – 60 days to go

Trump_&_Clinton

Yesterday marked only two months until US voters go to the polls to decide who will run their country for the next four years. With the first debate a matter of weeks away, the polls have narrowed, with Clinton’s national lead shrinking from roughly 8% to 3-4%.

ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Clinton 289 Trump 220 Tied 29


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

NEWS IN BRIEF

  • President Obama has described Donald Trump as ‘wacky’ and ‘uninformed’ after Trump claimed that Russian President Vladimir Putin is a better leader than him. Trump praised Putin’s ‘great control’ and high approval ratings, prompting Obama to state ‘I don’t think the guy’s qualified to be president of the United States and every time he speaks, that opinion is confirmed’.
  • Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson suffered from a humiliating TV interview, after asking ‘What is Aleppo?’ when asked what he would do about the Syrian city home to some of the worst fighting over the country’s ongoing civil war. Johnson claims to have ‘blanked’ and would ‘get smarter’, but social media was scathing in their criticism of the third-party candidate.
  • In an interview with Matt Lauer for NBC this week, Trump defended controversial comments made in May 2013, when he tweeted: ‘26,000 unreported sexual assaults in the military – only 238 convictions. What did these geniuses expect when they put men & women together?’. His comment that the tweet was correct sparked an immediate backlash on Twitter.
  • Jill Stein, Presidential candidate for the Green Party, has been charged with criminal trespass, after allegedly vandalising a bulldozer at a protest in North Dakota. Video footage appears to show Stein spray-painting the words ‘I approve this message’ on the machine during a protest against the construction of the Dakota Access Pipeline. A judge has issued a warrant for her arrest.

POLLING

Rasmussen (6-7 Sep) – Clinton 43% Trump 39% Johnson 9% Stein 2%

 

Most recent polling used, with most candidates where appropriate:

  • Alabama (9 EC) – Trump 57% Clinton 33% (19 Jul)
  • Alaska (3) – Trump 39% Clinton 29% Johnson 10% Stein 4% (27-29 Aug)
  • Arizona (11) – Clinton 35% Trump 34% Johnson 7% Stein 2% (17-31 Aug)
  • Arkansas (6) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 8% (21 Jun)
  • California (55) – Clinton 46% Trump 30% Johnson 7% Stein 6% (10-19 Jul)
  • Colorado (9) – Clinton 41% Trump 36% Johnson 13% Stein 3% (29-31 Aug)
  • Connecticut (7) – Clinton 50% Trump 35% Johnson 9% Stein 4% (2-5 Sep)
  • Delaware (3) – Clinton 42% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (20-24 Jul)
  • District of Columbia (3) – Clinton 62% Trump 22% Johnson 3% (12-18 Jul)
  • Florida (29) – Clinton 43% Trump 43% Johnson 8% Stein 2% (29 Aug – 7 Sep)
  • Georgia (16) – Trump 45% Clinton 41% Johnson 5% Stein 1% (10-12 Aug)
  • Hawaii (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • Idaho (4) – Trump 44% Clinton 23% Johnson 13% Stein 2% (18-31 Aug)
  • Illinois (20) – Clinton 51% Trump 32% (1-4 Aug)
  • Indiana (11) – Trump 47% Clinton 36% Johnson 10% (13-16 Aug)
  • Iowa (6) – Trump 44% Clinton 39% Johnson 8% Stein 1% (31 Aug – 1 Sep)
  • Kansas (6) – Trump 44% Clinton 37% Johnson 8% Stein 2% (22-23 Aug)
  • Kentucky (8) – Trump 41% Clinton 25% (2-4 Aug)
  • Louisiana (8) – Trump 52% Clinton 36% (5-6 May)
  • Maine (4) – Clinton 44% Trump 35% Johnson 12% Stein 2% (2-5 Sep)
  • Maryland (10) – Clinton 54% Trump 25% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (18-30 Aug)
  • Massachusetts (11) – Clinton 50% Trump 33% Johnson 9% Stein 2% (3-5 Sep)
  • Michigan (16) – Clinton 45% Trump 40% Johnson 7% Stein 3% (25-28 Aug)
  • Minnesota (10) – Clinton 48% Trump 35% (25-27 Apr)
  • Mississippi (6) – Trump 52% Clinton 39% Johnson 3% Stein 0% (11 Aug)
  • Missouri (10) – Trump 47% Clinton 38% Johnson 8% Stein 3% (1-2 Sep)
  • Montana (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1996 election
  • Nebraska (5) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Nevada (6) – Clinton 44% Trump 42% Johnson 5% (15-17 Aug)
  • New Hampshire (4) – Clinton 42% Trump 37% Johnson 14% Stein 4% (3-5 Sep)
  • New Jersey (14) Clinton 47% Trump 43% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (2-5 Sep)
  • New Mexico (5) – Clinton 40% Trump 31% Johnson 16% Stein 4% (19-21 Aug)
  • New York (29) – Clinton 52% Trump 34% Johnson 8% Stein 3% (28-30 Aug)
  • North Carolina (15) – Clinton 46% Trump 42% Johnson 4% Stein 2% (30 Aug – 2 Sep)
  • North Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Ohio (18) – Trump 41% Clinton 37% Johnson 14% Stein 4% (29 Aug – 7 Sep)
  • Oklahoma (7) – Trump 53% Clinton 29% Johnson 7% (20-25 Jul)
  • Oregon (7) – Clinton 38% Trump 25% Johnson 10% Stein 3% (1-6 Sep)
  • Pennsylvania (20) – Clinton 44% Trump 39% Johnson 9% Stein 3% (29 Aug – 7 Sep)
  • Rhode Island (4) – Clinton 44% Trump 41% Johnson 8% Stein 4% (2-5 Sep)
  • South Carolina (9) – Trump 50% Clinton 38% Johnson 3% Stein 1% (30 Aug – 2 Sep)
  • South Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Tennessee (11) – Trump 49% Clinton 33% (25-27 Jul)
  • Texas (38) – Trump 44% Clinton 38% Johnson 6% Stein 2% McMullin 0% (12-14 Aug)
  • Utah (6) – Trump 39% Clinton 24% Johnson 12% Stein 5% Castle 2% McMullin 9% (19-21 Aug)
  • Vermont (3) – Clinton 47% Trump 26% Johnson 13% Stein 7% (2-5 Sep)
  • Virginia (13) – Clinton 44% Trump 43% Johnson 11% Stein 3% (30 Aug – 1 Sep)
  • Washington (12) – Clinton 43% Trump 24% Johnson 7% Stein 4% (9-13 Aug)
  • West Virginia (5) – Trump 49% Clinton 31% Johnson 10% Stein 4% (9-28 Aug)
  • Wisconsin (10) – Clinton 43% Trump 38% Johnson 7% Stein 3% (27-30 Aug)
  • Wyoming (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election

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