US Election 2016 – 40 days to go

Trump_&_Clinton

We are just over a month away from the November 8th elections and after a swing to Donald Trump in recent weeks, Clinton has fought back in the first Presidential debate, which it is widely accepted she won. However, Trump has promised to not go as easy on her in the next debate – could this be like Obama’s bad performance in the first debate 2012, from which he went on to win? Only time will tell…

ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Clinton 334 Trump 198 Tied 6


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

NEWS IN BRIEF

  • Rudy Giuliani, former Mayor of New York City, claimed that Hillary Clinton is too stupid to be President, as she chose to stay with her husband Bill amid the Lewinsky scandal in 1998.
  • Trump was forced on the defensive by Clinton in the first presidential debate, which has seen her slightly increase her lead in the polls.
  • Forbes magazine’s reappraisal of Trump’s personal wealth has resulted in his net worth plunging by $800m. The magazine claims that the drop is due to the ‘softening of the property market in New York.
  • The Arizona Republic backed Clinton for the presidency, the first time the paper has backed a Democrat since the paper’s inception in 1890.
  • One person has died and more than 100 others injured after a commuter train crashed into Hoboken railway station in New Jersey.

POLLING

Public Policy Polling (27-28 Sep) – Clinton 44% Trump 40% Johnson 6% Stein 1%

Most recent polling used, with most candidates where appropriate:

  • Alabama (9 EC) – Trump 57% Clinton 33% (19 Jul)
  • Alaska (3) – Trump 39% Clinton 29% Johnson 10% Stein 4% (27-29 Aug)
  • Arizona (11) – Trump 40% Clinton 38% Johnson 9% (20-22 Sep)
  • Arkansas (6) – Trump 55% Clinton 34% Johnson 3% Stein 1% (15-17 Sep)
  • California (55) – Clinton 47% Trump 31% Johnson 10% Stein 5% (9-18 Sep)
  • Colorado (9) – Clinton 46% Trump 40% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (27-28 Sep)
  • Connecticut (7) – Clinton 50% Trump 35% Johnson 9% Stein 4% (2-5 Sep)
  • Delaware (3) – Clinton 42% Trump 32% Johnson 9% (20-24 Jul)
  • District of Columbia (3) – Clinton 62% Trump 22% Johnson 3% (12-18 Jul)
  • Florida (29) – Clinton 45% Trump 43% Johnson 3% Stein 1% (27-28 Sep)
  • Georgia (16) – Trump 47% Clinton 43% Johnson 6% (21-22 Sep)
  • Hawaii (4) – no data, but has voted Democrat since 1988 election
  • Idaho (4) – Trump 44% Clinton 23% Johnson 13% Stein 2% (18-31 Aug)
  • Illinois (20) – Clinton 45% Trump 39% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (19-20 Sep)
  • Indiana (11) – Trump 43% Clinton 36% Johnson 11% (6-8 Sep)
  • Iowa (6) – Clinton 38% Trump 38% Johnson 9% Stein 1% (20-22 Sep)
  • Kansas (6) – Trump 48% Clinton 36% Johnson 8% Stein 2% (6-11 Sep)
  • Kentucky (8) – Trump 41% Clinton 25% (2-4 Aug)
  • Louisiana (8) – Trump 45% Clinton 35% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (22-24 Sep)
  • Maine (4) – Clinton 40% Trump 36% Johnson 12% Stein 3% (15-20 Sep)
  • Maryland (10) – Clinton 58% Trump 25% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (17-20 Sep)
  • Massachusetts (11) – Clinton 54% Trump 28% Johnson 9% Stein 4% (7-10 Sep)
  • Michigan (16) – Clinton 46% Trump 41% Johnson 8% Stein 1% (27 Sep)
  • Minnesota (10) – Clinton 46% Trump 39% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (16-20 Sep)
  • Mississippi (6) – Trump 52% Clinton 39% Johnson 3% Stein 0% (11 Aug)
  • Missouri (10) – Trump 49% Clinton 39% Johnson 5% (26-27 Sep)
  • Montana (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1996 election
  • Nebraska (5) – Trump 56% Clinton 29% Johnson 7% Stein 1% (25-27 Sep)
  • Nevada (6) – Trump 43% Clinton 40% Johnson 8% (18-20 Sep)
  • New Hampshire (4) – Clinton 46% Trump 42% Johnson 6% Stein 1% (20-25 Sep)
  • New Jersey (14) Clinton 47% Trump 43% Johnson 5% Stein 2% (2-5 Sep)
  • New Mexico (5) – Clinton 40% Trump 31% Johnson 16% Stein 4% (19-21 Aug)
  • New York (29) – Clinton 52% Trump 31% Johnson 7% Stein 5% (21-23 Sep)
  • North Carolina (15) – Clinton 44% Trump 42% Johnson 7% (27-28 Sep)
  • North Dakota (3) – Trump 43% Clinton 32% Johnson 8% Stein 1% (12-17 Sep)
  • Ohio (18) – Clinton 40% Trump 37% Johnson 8% Stein 2% (15-22 Sep)
  • Oklahoma (7) – Trump 51% Clinton 36% Johnson 6% (13-15 Sep)
  • Oregon (7) – Clinton 43% Trump 28% Johnson 11% Stein 3% (2-7 Sep)
  • Pennsylvania (20) – Clinton 45% Trump 39% Johnson 6% Stein 2% (27-28 Sep)
  • Rhode Island (4) – Clinton 44% Trump 41% Johnson 8% Stein 4% (2-5 Sep)
  • South Carolina (9) – Trump 42% Clinton 38% Johnson 6% Stein 3% (18-26 Sep)
  • South Dakota (3) – no data, but has voted Republican since 1968 election
  • Tennessee (11) – Trump 49% Clinton 33% (25-27 Jul)
  • Texas (38) – Trump 39% Clinton 32% Johnson 9% Stein 3% (1-11 Sep)
  • Utah (6) – Trump 34% Clinton 25% Johnson 13% McMullin 12% (12-19 Sep)
  • Vermont (3) – Clinton 47% Trump 26% Johnson 13% Stein 7% (2-5 Sep)
  • Virginia (13) – Clinton 46% Trump 40% Johnson 7% Stein 1% (27-28 Sep)
  • Washington (12) – Clinton 44% Trump 38% Johnson 7% Stein 5% (25-26 Sep)
  • West Virginia (5) – Trump 57% Clinton 30% Johnson 4% (8-10 Sep)
  • Wisconsin (10) – Clinton 45% Trump 38% Johnson 11% Stein 2% (19-20 Sep)
  • Wyoming (3) – Trump 54% Clinton 19% Johnson 10% Stein 2% (6-11 Sep)

 

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