Labour look set to lose to lose one of their seats in Brighton to the Conservatives at the next election under proposed boundary changes.
In the changes, put forward to Parliament yesterday, the constituency of Brighton Kemptown will become ‘Brighton Kemptown and Seahaven’, stretching from Madeira Drive all the way to Seaford and Newhaven, adding many Conservative-voting wards to the seat.
The altered constituency will also lose Moulsecoomb and Bevendean, typically a Labour-voting ward, to Brighton Pavilion.
If the changes had been in place for the last election, the Conservative candidate Simon Kirby would have increased his majority from 690 to over 2,500.
The boundary changes are part of a regular review of constituencies and an effort to reduce the number of seats in parliament from 650 to 600.
If last year’s election had been fought with the new proposed constituencies, the Conservatives would have achieved a majority of seven, with 308 seats. Labour would have won 232 seats, with the Liberal Democrats on only seven.
Caroline Lucas would retain her seat, albeit with a smaller majority, in a slightly reshaped Brighton Pavilion. Her constituency retains a small corridor to the sea, after initial proposals saw the seat become landlocked.
Labour would still hold the new ‘Hove and Regency’ seat under Peter Kyle with a majority of 19,000.
It is currently unclear whether the boundary changes will be approved by Parliament, as many high-profile Conservatives could see their seats disappear or become marginals to Labour, including Boris Johnson, Priti Patel and Iain Duncan Smith, all outspoken Brexiteers. Leader of the Labour Party Jeremy Corbyn would also see his seat disappear under the proposals.
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