LATEST: The Liberal Democrats have announced they will not stand in the Brighton Pavilion constituency, as part of a ‘Remain Alliance’ with the Green Party and Plaid Cymru
Labour could be pushed to fourth place in Brighton Pavilion at the election next month, behind even the Liberal Democrats.
The seat is expected to be one by the incumbent Green MP Caroline Lucas, who has held the seat since 2010.
However, despite winning the most seats in council elections in Brighton earlier this year, Labour look set to lose almost half their vote share from the last election in the seat.
According to a projection from Electoral Calculus, the Conservative Party are set to come second with close to 17 percent of the vote – down from 19 percent in 2017.
However, it is the Liberal Democrats who could take third place, after not running in the seat at the last election.
Despite controlling the constituency from 1997 to 2010, Labour’s chance of retaking the seat is as low as two percent.
Nationally, the Conservative Party look set to win an overall majority of over 70, with Labour likely to lose as many as 80 seats from the last election two years ago.
The Green Party will be looking at making their first parliamentary gain in almost a decade, with seats like Bristol West offering the party an opportunity of a second seat.
thoughtsfromdan.com 